Aberystwyth Town vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
LID
0 - 6
ABE
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ABE
5 - 1
LID
75%
16%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ABE
3 - 3
BAN
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
CON
0 - 4
ABE
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 3
CAE
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAE
4 - 3
CAM
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
CAE
31%
23%
46%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CEF
1 - 2
CAE
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAE
1 - 0
RHA
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |