Aberystwyth Town vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
8º
12º
11º
23
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
25%
26%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
PON
2 - 0
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABE
69%
19%
11%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 3
TNS
18%
22%
61%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
NEW
18%
22%
59%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CON
7 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |