Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
ABE
57%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 3
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
3 - 1
AIR
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 0
LLA
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
4 - 0
RHY
48%
24%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 3
BAL
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 0
ABE
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAR
70%
19%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
BAL
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
CEF
4 - 4
BAL
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |