Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ABE
3 - 3
CON
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 0
PRE
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
ABE
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAM
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 2
TNS
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 4
BAL
22%
22%
56%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 1
RHY
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 3
TNS
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 1
BAN
34%
23%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |