Aberystwyth Town vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
ABE
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 0
AIR
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LID
0 - 2
ABE
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 4
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 2
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
LLA
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
4 - 2
BAL
81%
13%
7%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |