Aberystwyth Town vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LID
0 - 2
ABE
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 2
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
0 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 4
CEF
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 1
NEW
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
AIR
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |