Aberystwyth Town vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEF
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
2 - 2
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 1
LID
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
LID
5 - 1
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
LID
0 - 0
POR
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
LID
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
LID
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |