Abertillery Bluebirds vs Trefelin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
52.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
ABB
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 4
GOY
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
ABB
61%
18%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ABB
2 - 0
CAR
12%
16%
71%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +6 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 2
ABB
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
TRE
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
TRE
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 2
AAF
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
BDG
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |