Abertillery Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
76.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 1
CAE
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ABB
2 - 2
PON
10%
15%
75%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
GOY
4 - 2
ABB
89%
8%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ABB
0 - 3
BRI
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ABB
0 - 2
CAM
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 3
LLA
19%
19%
62%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 5
LLA
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CWM
2 - 1
LLA
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
BDG
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
LLA
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |