Abertillery Bluebirds vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
TAF
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
ABB
54%
21%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 1
ABE
36%
22%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
6 - 1
ABB
83%
11%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
2 - 1
ABB
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 2
LID
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
AAF
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
LLA
22%
21%
57%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
LLA
47%
22%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
LID
0 - 3
LLA
24%
22%
54%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |