Abertillery Bluebirds vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
68.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
5 - 3
ABB
81%
11%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 7
AAF
21%
21%
59%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
5 - 2
ABB
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ABB
2 - 5
TRE
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
ABB
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TAF
4 - 1
LID
28%
21%
50%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
LID
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LID
6 - 0
ABE
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
LID
74%
16%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 4
LID
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |