Abertillery Bluebirds vs Abergavenny Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
6 - 1
ABB
83%
11%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
2 - 1
ABB
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABB
77%
14%
10%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TRE
6 - 1
ABB
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
9 - 0
ABB
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
ABE
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
PON
20%
19%
61%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
3 - 2
ABE
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
3 - 1
ABE
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |