Abergavenny Town vs Treharris Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 1
ABE
51%
20%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
5 - 2
ABE
84%
12%
4%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YAF
0 - 1
ABE
43%
22%
36%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 1
GOY
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 3
SUF
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Treharris Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PAA
5 - 0
TRE
67%
18%
16%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TRE
3 - 2
CNL
42%
22%
37%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 7
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | -1 |