Abergavenny Town vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
61.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 3
CAA
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
TRE
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 0
ABE
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 5
LLA
11%
17%
71%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 2
ABE
10%
14%
76%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
TAF
35%
21%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 1
LLA
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 1
TAF
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 4
BDG
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 0
TAF
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |