Abergavenny Town vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 0
ABE
23%
20%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
BRI
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
BRI
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
ABE
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
LLA
17%
21%
63%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 1
LLA
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 2
LLA
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 1
GOY
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
YAF
3 - 1
LLA
11%
16%
74%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |