Abergavenny Town vs Cambrian & Clydach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
15º
13º
47
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
26%
20%
54%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
TRE
34%
21%
45%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAR
15%
21%
65%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +5 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
GOY
33%
22%
46%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
6 - 0
ABE
67%
17%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cambrian & Clydach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 3
LLA
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAM
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PON
0 - 0
CAM
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 4
PON
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 3
TAF
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |