Abergavenny Town vs Cambrian & Clydach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
15º
13º
47
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
LID
26%
20%
54%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
TRE
34%
21%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAR
15%
21%
65%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +5 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
GOY
33%
22%
46%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
6 - 0
ABE
67%
17%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cambrian & Clydach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 3
LLA
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
CAM
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PON
0 - 0
CAM
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 4
PON
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 3
TAF
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |