Abergavenny Town vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
75.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
BRI
14%
19%
67%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
ABE
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
LLA
17%
21%
63%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
YAF
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
LLA
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
BRI
14%
19%
67%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
TAF
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
CWM
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 2
BRI
31%
24%
44%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 2
BRI
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |