Abergavenny Town vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
LID
14%
16%
71%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
LLA
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 0
ABE
23%
20%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
BRI
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
BRI
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
BDG
87%
10%
4%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
BDG
93%
5%
2%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
BDG
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 3
LID
6%
10%
85%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BDG
1 - 1
PON
10%
15%
76%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | +2 |