Abergavenny Town vs Ammanford AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
67.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAM
11%
16%
73%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
6 - 0
ABE
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
4 - 0
ABE
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
BRI
9%
16%
75%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
ABE
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
AAF
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 2
AAF
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 1
BRI
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 3
AAF
28%
22%
49%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GOY
2 - 6
AAF
42%
23%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |