Abergavenny Town vs Afan Lido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
70.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
LLA
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAE
4 - 0
ABE
23%
20%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
BRI
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
BRI
14%
19%
67%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
ABE
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
LID
3 - 1
CAE
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
LID
87%
9%
3%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
LID
3 - 0
ABB
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 3
LID
6%
10%
85%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
YAF
2 - 1
LID
20%
18%
62%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |