Abergavenny Town vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 1
ABE
36%
22%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 1
ABE
86%
9%
5%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
PON
20%
19%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
3 - 2
ABE
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ABB
1 - 1
ABE
36%
22%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
6 - 1
ABB
83%
11%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TAF
2 - 1
ABB
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 2
ABB
77%
14%
10%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
TRE
6 - 1
ABB
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |