Aberfan vs Pontyclun FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
58.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberfan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ABF
1 - 5
TRE
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ABF
2 - 0
PTA
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pontyclun FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PFC
0 - 3
PON
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GOY
1 - 0
PFC
82%
11%
6%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PFC
3 - 1
LLA
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | +7 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
PFC
0 - 1
PAA
18%
19%
63%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LID
4 - 1
PFC
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |