Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Aberdeen vs SV Thor Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
ABE
0 - 1
STM
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 2
ABE
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
ABE
1 - 2
DUN
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
ABE
3 - 2
BYM
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 1
ABE
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SV Thor Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1983 |
THO
2 - 0
TON
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
BRU
2 - 2
THO
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
THO
3 - 0
PSG
39%
24%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
THO
1 - 0
BEE
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
LOK
3 - 0
THO
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |