Aberdeen vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
12º
3º
44
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HIB
6 - 0
ABE
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 0
ABE
5%
12%
83%
|
72 | 29 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
HOM
5 - 0
ABE
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GLA
2 - 1
ABE
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 0
STJ
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
MHE
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
STM
0 - 0
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
4 - 0
STM
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 0
STM
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |