Aberdeen vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
ABE
19%
25%
55%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
GLA
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
BUR
3 - 1
ABE
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 0
ABE
5%
13%
82%
|
79 | 35 | 44 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ABE
1 - 1
BUR
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
GLA
2 - 0
STM
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
STM
2 - 1
DUN
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
STM
6 - 0
DUM
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 0
STM
14%
19%
67%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
STM
0 - 6
SUN
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |