Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
3º
1º
35
6º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 7 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 7 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
MHE
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 3
CEL
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 0
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 0
ABE
22%
27%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 1
ROS
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 3
HIB
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STJ
0 - 2
KIL
25%
29%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HIB
1 - 2
STJ
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 2
DUN
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
STJ
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |