Aberdeen vs Ross County FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
12º
9º
30
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MHE
0 - 1
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STM
2 - 1
ABE
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
STJ
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ross County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 1
HOM
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 2
HIB
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 0
ROS
69%
20%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 1
STM
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 2
LIV
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |