Aberdeen vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MHE
1 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
DUN
3 - 1
ABE
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ABE
0 - 1
KIL
59%
24%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
ALL
0 - 3
ABE
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 0
RAI
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ROS
0 - 0
RAI
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
RAI
1 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
RAI
1 - 0
HAM
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |