Aberdeen vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
3º
3º
7
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 71 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 61 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 46 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 45 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 45 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 36 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 36 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 24 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
99.5% | 60% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 1
ABE
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 0
KIL
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
QUE
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
STM
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 2
ABE
19%
25%
56%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 2
MHE
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
3 - 1
HOM
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 1
MHE
62%
20%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
6 - 0
MHE
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |