Aberdeen vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
12º
9º
37
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 0
BRA
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
GLA
2 - 1
ABE
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
CEL
28%
24%
48%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 1
MHE
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MHE
5 - 0
ROS
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 1
KIL
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 1
MHE
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MHE
3 - 1
ALL
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |