Aberdeen vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
3º
1º
43
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 7 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 7 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 3
CEL
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 0
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 0
ABE
22%
27%
52%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 1
ROS
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MHE
0 - 1
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 1
HIB
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 3
MHE
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 1
STM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MHE
0 - 1
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GLA
1 - 2
MHE
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |