Aberdeen vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
ABE
5 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CEL
4 - 0
ABE
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ABE
0 - 1
DUN
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
KIL
1 - 3
ABE
45%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
ABE
0 - 3
LIV
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MHE
1 - 1
GLA
26%
24%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 2
MHE
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MHE
1 - 1
HOM
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
4 - 3
MHE
37%
25%
39%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 0
MHE
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |