Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-3
Aberdeen vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
HIB
2 - 1
ABE
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
GLA
1 - 1
ABE
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
3 - 2
ABE
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ABE
4 - 0
MHE
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
ABE
4 - 0
LIV
87%
9%
4%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
2 - 1
SSO
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CHB
4 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
3 - 2
ABE
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
3 - 2
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
SLI
1 - 1
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |