Aberdeen vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
12º
9º
18
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 0
ABE
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 0
EIN
13%
19%
68%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 1
HOM
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
KIL
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 0
ABE
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 0
KIL
33%
30%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 1
HIB
21%
26%
54%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 2
GLA
15%
22%
63%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 0
LIV
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |