Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
QUE
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
STM
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 2
ABE
19%
25%
56%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ABE
6 - 0
DUM
80%
13%
6%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 0
KIL
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 0
KIL
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 1
KIL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
0 - 3
STJ
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 2
TRO
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |