Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
HIB
0 - 1
ABE
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
ABE
6 - 0
NSI
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
ABE
2 - 1
LIV
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ABE
0 - 1
GLA
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
KIL
4 - 0
DUN
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
GLA
2 - 0
KIL
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
KIL
1 - 2
STJ
56%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
ROS
2 - 2
KIL
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
KIL
1 - 1
CEL
15%
21%
64%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |