Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
ABE
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
ABE
2 - 2
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 3
ABE
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ABE
3 - 1
HIB
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
ABE
2 - 3
LIV
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2003 |
KIL
0 - 2
DUN
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
KIL
0 - 3
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 1
KIL
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 2
KIL
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
KIL
2 - 0
MHE
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |