Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Aberdeen vs ÍA Akranes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
ABE
1 - 2
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
GLA
0 - 2
ABE
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
IAA
1 - 2
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
MHE
1 - 1
ABE
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
23%
23%
54%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
ÍA Akranes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
IAA
1 - 2
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
THR
0 - 0
IAA
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
IAA
1 - 1
IBV
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
KEF
0 - 1
IAA
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
IAA
3 - 0
BIB
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |