Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
MHE
2 - 2
ABE
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
ABE
2 - 1
KIL
69%
20%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
RAI
2 - 2
ABE
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
GLA
4 - 0
ABE
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
ABE
0 - 2
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
HOM
2 - 0
KIL
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
GLA
0 - 0
HOM
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
HOM
1 - 2
CEL
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
RAI
1 - 2
HOM
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |