Aberdeen vs Gretna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 1
CEL
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GLA
3 - 1
ABE
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 1
MHE
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
KIL
3 - 1
ABE
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
BYM
5 - 1
ABE
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 3
DUN
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
GRE
4 - 2
KIL
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
GLA
4 - 2
GRE
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 3
MHE
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
HIB
4 - 2
GRE
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |