Europa League 1/32
Global 7-2
Aberdeen vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.76
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
STJ
1 - 2
ABE
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
ABE
0 - 0
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
MHE
0 - 0
ABE
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
MHE
0 - 0
ABE
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
EAS
0 - 2
ABE
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |