Aberdeen vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 3
CEL
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 4
CEL
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
ICT
0 - 2
ABE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
ABE
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 0
STM
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
DUN
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
DUN
5 - 3
MON
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 0
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
DUN
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
RAI
2 - 1
DUN
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |