Aberdeen vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 2
ABE
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
ABE
0 - 0
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
KIL
2 - 2
ABE
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
ABE
1 - 2
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
ABE
0 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
CWB
1 - 2
DUN
26%
25%
50%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 0
MHE
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 2
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
HIB
1 - 4
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 6
GLA
26%
24%
51%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |