Aberdeen vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
MHE
1 - 1
ABE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
ABE
1 - 5
CEL
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
HOM
0 - 2
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
DUN
3 - 0
ABE
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
ABE
2 - 1
KIL
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
DUN
1 - 0
STJ
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
KIL
0 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
MHE
1 - 1
DUN
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
CEL
4 - 0
DUN
81%
13%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |