Aberdeen vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
GLA
2 - 0
ABE
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
ABE
1 - 0
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1997 |
ABE
3 - 0
MHE
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
KIL
1 - 0
ABE
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
HIB
2 - 2
ABE
46%
24%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
HIB
1 - 0
DUN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
DUN
0 - 1
STJ
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1997 |
DUN
1 - 3
HOM
40%
26%
33%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
MHE
2 - 0
DUN
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
DUN
0 - 0
GLA
25%
23%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |