Aberdeen vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
EAS
0 - 4
ABE
12%
19%
69%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
QOS
0 - 3
ABE
12%
19%
69%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 4
ABE
8%
17%
75%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 2
ABE
23%
25%
53%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUM
3 - 4
AIR
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 0
DUM
43%
23%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 1
EAS
32%
23%
46%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 6
DUM
13%
18%
68%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 4
DUM
8%
14%
78%
|
55 | 17 | 38 | 0 |