Aberdeen vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
12.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
23%
26%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
ABE
2 - 1
LIV
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 1
ABE
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 0
HAM
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
HIB
3 - 0
ABE
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
FAL
3 - 0
DUM
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
DUM
1 - 1
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
RAI
0 - 2
DUM
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 4
DUM
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
DUM
0 - 2
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |