Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Aberdeen vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
GLA
3 - 1
ABE
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 1
MHE
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
KIL
3 - 1
ABE
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
BYM
5 - 1
ABE
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
HIB
3 - 1
ABE
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 0
CEL
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
HIB
0 - 2
CEL
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 1
ICT
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
STM
0 - 1
CEL
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 3
FCB
17%
24%
59%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |