Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-4
Aberdeen vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
ABE
0 - 0
STJ
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
DUN
1 - 2
ABE
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
ABE
1 - 1
AIR
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
HIB
4 - 0
ABE
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
ABE
7 - 3
AIR
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
LIV
2 - 0
BUD
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
BUD
0 - 0
LIV
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
BUD
1 - 2
DUK
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1965 |
DUK
2 - 3
BUD
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
BUD
6 - 0
FCR
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |