Aberdare Town FC vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 0
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HAV
1 - 3
ABE
38%
24%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 0
ABE
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ABE
4 - 1
CPD
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
WES
2 - 1
ABE
17%
20%
63%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 5
BAL
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LID
1 - 6
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
BAN
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
RHY
2 - 4
BAL
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |